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Tropical Origins for Recent North Atlantic Climate Change
Martin P. Hoerling,1James W. Hurrell,2Taiyi Xu1
Evidence is presented that North Atlantic climate change
since 1950 is linked to a progressive warming of tropical sea surfacetemperatures, especially over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Theocean
changes alter the pattern and magnitude of tropical rainfalland
atmospheric heating, the atmospheric response to which includesthe
spatial structure of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).The slow,
tropical ocean warming has thus forced a commensuratetrend toward one
extreme phase of the NAO during the past half-century.
1 Climate Diagnostics Center, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration-Environmental Research Laboratories,
Boulder, CO 80303, USA.
2 National Center for
Atmospheric Research, Post Office Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, USA.
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: mph{at}cdc.noaa.gov
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